For “Newly Emerging Science & Technologies” (“NESTs”), uncertainty is the major challenge. Technological innovation for NESTs faces many kinds of risks that dramatically affect their development paths. This chapter combines methods of risk utility theory and technology path research and explores a new innovation risk path modeling method for NEST development. Continue reading Identifying innovation risk path for a newly emerging science & technology: Dye-sensitized solar cells
Category Archives: Future-oriented technology analysis
Design of TOD Model for Information Analysis and Future Prediction
Analyzing mass information and supporting insight based on analysis results are very important work but it needs much effort and time. Information analysis and future prediction about science and IT filed data are also very critical tasks for researchers, government officers, businessman, etc. Therefore, in this paper, we propose technology opportunity discovery (TOD) model based on feature selection and decision making for effective, systematic, and objective information analysis and future forecasting of science and IT field. Continue reading Design of TOD Model for Information Analysis and Future Prediction
Composing technology roadmapping according to bibliometrics: hybrid model and empirical study
Technology roadmapping is considered a powerful instrument for technology assessment and forecasting, and the composing model for technology roadmapping is also a hot topic in the field of technology visualization. This paper tries to introduce a bibliometric method involving with terms frequency analysis and association analysis to construct the objects and their relationships in the technology roadmapping, and blend with expert knowledge to locate each object in the appropriate layer and time interval. Continue reading Composing technology roadmapping according to bibliometrics: hybrid model and empirical study
Analyzing Technology Evolution of Graphene Sensor Based on Patent Documents
Extended Abstract – FUTURE-ORIENTED TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS session at “1st Global TechMining Conference” 2011
Author(s): Shu Fang, Zhengyin Hu, Hongshen Pang, Xian Zhan (The Chengdu Branch of the National Science Library, Chinese Academy of Sciences)
We propose an improved analysis method based on an existing method (Young，Jong & Sang, 2008) of patent semantic analysis for emerging technologies. We selected the field of graphene sensor for empirical analysis, and drew semantic networks of technology keywords and technology evolution maps of graphene sensor. The empirical analysis result shows that this new method can support better patent analysis of technology evolution. Continue reading Analyzing Technology Evolution of Graphene Sensor Based on Patent Documents
A Hybrid Visualized Model for Composing Technology Roadmapping: Bibliometrics, Qualitative Methodology & Empirical Study
Extended Abstract – FUTURE-ORIENTED TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS session at “1st Global TechMining Conference” 2011
Author(s): Yi Zhang, Ying Guo, Donghua Zhu, and Xuefeng Wang; Beijing Institute of Technology
The booming of emerging technology is an obvious global feature of today’s S&T development at the same as it is also becoming a key factor in the national R&D programs. Considering this, how to describe the dynamic development path of emerging technology via visualization including market, product and technique elements should be considered seriously by both governments and enterprises. Continue reading A Hybrid Visualized Model for Composing Technology Roadmapping: Bibliometrics, Qualitative Methodology & Empirical Study
Using Semantic Web Technologies for Technology Intelligence Services
The change in technological environment presents threats as well as opportunities to companies in the related fields. Existing Technology Intelligence procedures require complicated techniques and high-skilled labor results. Large expert-interviews and manual work is also needed, so single small companies can not undertake this alone. To spread and activate Technology Intelligence in research and industrial fields, we propose shallow, but automated, Technology Intelligence services based on Semantic Web technologies, which can reduce the amount of labor required from experts. Continue reading Using Semantic Web Technologies for Technology Intelligence Services
Technological foresight—the use of biotechnology in the development of new drugs against breast cancer
The aim of the study is to demonstrate knowledge and information management as a mechanism for developing technological foresight regarding the use of biotechnology in drugs for breast cancer. The methodology applies competitive intelligence (CI) tools to identify international trends concerning drugs for treatment and/or diagnosis, and to identify leading institutions. Continue reading Technological foresight—the use of biotechnology in the development of new drugs against breast cancer
Tech Mining for Future-Oriented Technology Analyses
TechMining extracts useful intelligence from electronic science & technology text information sources. This information can serve needs to know about current activities (e.g., profiling who’s doing what in a target area). It can also serve FTA interests in several ways:
Continue reading Tech Mining for Future-Oriented Technology Analyses