Category: Future-oriented technology analysis
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Forecasting the Big Services Era: Novel Approach Combining Statistical Methods, Expertise and Technology Roadmapping
This paper aims at proposing a novel approach to gathering and structuring information concerning an emerging technology, generating a relevant profile, identifying its past evolution, forecasting the short and medium-term evolution and integrating all of the elements graphically into a hybrid roadmap. The approach combines four families of technological forecasting methods, namely: Statistical Methods in…
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Analyzing patent topical information to identify technology pathways and potential opportunities
As a basic knowledge resource, patents play an important role in identifying technology development trends and opportunities, especially for emerging technologies. However patent mining is restricted and even incomplete, because of the obscure descriptions provided in patent text. In this paper, we conduct an empirical study to try out alternative methods with Derwent Innovation Index…
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Integrating bibliometrics and roadmapping methods: A case of dye-sensitized solar cell technology-based industry in China
Emerging industries are attracting increasing attention as they engage in innovation activities that transgress the boundaries of science and technology. Policy makers and industrial communities use roadmapping methods to predict future industrial growth, but the existing bibliometric/workshop methods have limitations when analyzing the full-lifecycle industrial emergence, including the transitions between science, technology, application, and the…
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Prospects and Trends in the Brazilian Market for Biologically Sourced Products
The aim of this paper was to select the most interesting Brazilian biopharmaceuticals, with the best market opportunity for production.
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Creating patents on the new technology using analogy-based patent mining
Patents on the new technology–a technology not yet commercialized and in an early stage of its life cycle–give firms many benefits. However, existing methods are inadequate because of dependencies on customers and physical prototypes. And there is lack of systems, focused on a problem identification process or an inter-technological comparison. In this research, to remedy…
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A technology opportunities analysis model: applied to dye-sensitised solar cells for China
Technology opportunities analysis (TOA) can support policy-makers or managers in making strategic technical decisions so as to enhance their technological innovation capability and international competitiveness. This paper presents a multi-level framework to support and systematically identify technological opportunities.
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Combining tech-mining and semantic-TRIZ for a faster and better technology analysis: a case in energy storage systems
Understanding and anticipating the evolution of technologies is an increasingly complex task attributable to the interdisciplinarity of the technology and the explosion of information about the research and patent activity. By combining the capabilities of tech-mining in identifying and in highlighting trends, weak signals, with those of semantic-TRIZ (Teoriya Resheniya Izobreatatelskikh Zadatch – Theory of…
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A hybrid visualisation model for technology roadmapping: bibliometrics, qualitative methodology and empirical study
Technology roadmapping offers a flexible instrument to portray development status in support of technology forecasting and assessment. This paper integrates bibliometrics with qualitative methodologies and visualisation techniques to construct a hybrid model for composing technology roadmaps.
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Technology life cycle analysis method based on patent documents
To estimate the future development of one technology and make decisions whether to invest in it or not, one needs to know the current stage of its technology life cycle (TLC). The dominant approach to analyzing TLC uses the S-curve to observe patent applications over time. But using the patent application counts alone to represent…
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Text mining of information resources to inform Forecasting Innovation Pathways
Highly uncertain dynamics of New and Emerging Science and Technologies (NEST) pose special challenges to traditional forecasting tools. This paper explores the systematisation of the ‘Forecasting Innovation Pathways’ analytical approach through the application of Tech Mining.