Forecasting the Big Services Era: Novel Approach Combining Statistical Methods, Expertise and Technology Roadmapping

This paper aims at proposing a novel approach to gathering and structuring information concerning an emerging technology, generating a relevant profile, identifying its past evolution, forecasting the short and medium-term evolution and integrating all of the elements graphically into a hybrid roadmap. The approach combines four families of technological forecasting methods, namely: Statistical Methods in terms of Bibliometrics and Data Mining; Trend Analysis; Descriptive Methods in terms of Technological Roadmapping; and Expertise. Its future application to forecast the evolution of emerging IT trends in current entities, which are creating the Big Services era, is proposed as future work.

Author(s): Iñaki Bildosola, Rosa Rio-Bélver, Ernesto Cilleruelo
Organization(s): University of the Basque Country UPV/EHU
Source: Enhancing Synergies in a Collaborative Environment [Springer International Publishing] Lecture Notes in Management and Industrial Engineering
Year: 2015

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