Category: Future-oriented technology analysis

  • Dynamics of scientific knowledge bases as proxies for discerning technological emergence — The case of MEMS/NEMS technologies

    Emerging technologies embrace the very early stages of socio-technological evolution. Despite their appealing nature, they have been loosely defined and operationalized. In particular, operationalization approaches based on bibliometric methods have often tended to emphasize the exponential growth and the potential impacts of emerging technologies while overlooking their inherent uncertainty and ‘fluidity’.

  • Technological Forecasting on Phytotherapics Development in Brazil

    The prospective analysis is presented as an important tool to identify the most relevant opportunities and needs in research and development from planned interventions in innovation systems.   This study chose Phyllanthus niruri, known as “stone break” to describe the knowledge about the specie, by using biotechnological forecasting through the software Vantage Point. It can be…

  • Technology trends analysis and forecasting application based on decision tree and statistical feature analysis

    Analyzing mass information and supporting foresight are very important task but they are extremely time-consuming work. In addition, information analysis and forecasting about the science and technology are also very critical tasks for researchers, government officers, businessman, etc. Some related studies recently have been executed and semi-automatic tools have been developed actively.

  • The Emergence of a New Technology: A Multi-Perspective Analysis on the Case of Human Papilloma Virus (Hpv) Molecular Diagnostic Tests

    Emerging technologies are sources of new industries and sub-sectors as well as they represent important drivers for technological change. Given the central role emerging technologies play, we aim to investigate the phenomenon of emergence in order to reveal its complexity. To this end, by drawing on an institutional-evolutional framework, we use a case study approach that combines a multi-perspective…

  • Identifying innovation risk path for a newly emerging science & technology: Dye-sensitized solar cells

    For “Newly Emerging Science & Technologies” (“NESTs”), uncertainty is the major challenge. Technological innovation for NESTs faces many kinds of risks that dramatically affect their development paths. This chapter combines methods of risk utility theory and technology path research and explores a new innovation risk path modeling method for NEST development.

  • Design of TOD Model for Information Analysis and Future Prediction

    Analyzing mass information and supporting insight based on analysis results are very important work but it needs much effort and time. Information analysis and future prediction about science and IT filed data are also very critical tasks for researchers, government officers, businessman, etc. Therefore, in this paper, we propose technology opportunity discovery (TOD) model based…

  • Composing technology roadmapping according to bibliometrics: hybrid model and empirical study

    Technology roadmapping is considered a powerful instrument for technology assessment and forecasting, and the composing model for technology roadmapping is also a hot topic in the field of technology visualization. This paper tries to introduce a bibliometric method involving with terms frequency analysis and association analysis to construct the objects and their relationships in the…

  • Analyzing Technology Evolution of Graphene Sensor Based on Patent Documents

    Extended Abstract – FUTURE-ORIENTED TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS session at “1st Global TechMining Conference” 2011 Author(s): Shu Fang, Zhengyin Hu, Hongshen Pang, Xian Zhan (The Chengdu Branch of the National Science Library, Chinese Academy of Sciences) We propose an improved analysis method based on an existing method (Young，Jong & Sang, 2008) of patent semantic analysis for emerging technologies. We…

  • A Hybrid Visualized Model for Composing Technology Roadmapping: Bibliometrics, Qualitative Methodology & Empirical Study

    Extended Abstract – FUTURE-ORIENTED TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS session at “1st Global TechMining Conference” 2011 Author(s): Yi Zhang, Ying Guo, Donghua Zhu, and Xuefeng Wang; Beijing Institute of Technology The booming of emerging technology is an obvious global feature of today’s S&T development at the same as it is also becoming a key factor in the national…

  • Using Semantic Web Technologies for Technology Intelligence Services

    The change in technological environment presents threats as well as opportunities to companies in the related fields. Existing Technology Intelligence procedures require complicated techniques and high-skilled labor results. Large expert-interviews and manual work is also needed, so single small companies can not undertake this alone. To spread and activate Technology Intelligence in research and industrial…