Category: Future-oriented technology analysis
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Navigating the innovation trajectories of technology by combining specialization score analyses for publications and patents: graphene and nano-enabled drug delivery
In this study, we combine the specialization scores for publications and patents (the latter is a new indicator of cross-disciplinary engagement) to achieve more comprehensive navigation of the innovation trajectory of a technology. The patent specialization score draws upon counterpart research publication indicator concepts to measure patent diversity. Two nano-based technologies—Nano-enabled drug delivery (NEDD) and…
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Identification of technology development trends based on subject-action-object analysis: The case of dye-sensitized solar cells
Identification of technology development trends is essential for supporting decision makers in forecasting and identifying related innovation activities and industrial growth. Different from the traditional technology development trends based on keyword-based quantitative methods, which usually predict trends by finding key technologies without showing how to develop them, our method allows the identification of future direction…
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Advancing the forecasting innovation pathways approach: hybrid and electric vehicles case
The forecasting innovation pathways (FIP) approach combines empirical tech mining with expert opinion. To date, FIP has been devised for relatively immature emerging technologies. This study extends the FIP methodology to work for a more advanced and complicated technology. It does so through a case analysis of hybrid and electric vehicles (HEVs). We retain the…
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Evaluation of the Development of R&D into Parkinson’s Disease through Technology Monitoring Using Patent Documents and Scientific Articles
Characterized as a progressive neurodegenerative disease caused by the loss of dopaminergic neurons in the substantia nigra, Parkinson’s disease is affecting an ever greater number of people around the world as global life expectancy rises. As the disease progresses, it has physical, mental, emotional, social, and economic impacts on the patient, eroding their quality of…
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Evolution of emerging iPS cell-based therapies for age-related macular degeneration (AMD)
Stem cell-based regenerative medicine is poised to revolutionize the way diseases are treated. In recent years, induced pluripotent stem (iPS) cells, a newly stem cell species, has attracted significant attention. This paper seeks to understand the pathways along which emerging clinical research efforts in the field of iPS cells is evolved. In particular, the empirical…
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Technology Early Warning Model: A New Approach Based on Patent Data
With the development of technology, more and more technical issues have been exposed, such as technical disputes, technical barriers and technical crisis. Thus, it is necessary to warn enterprises about technical deviation and predict future technology crises. Patent data can contain much information about technologies and would be useful in this setting. This paper proposes a technology early…
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A Technology Foresight Model: Used for Foreseeing Impelling Technology in Life Science
This paper constructs an Impelling Technology Foresight Model (ITFM) for foreseeing impelling technology in the field of life science, which is a comprehensive model consisting of four class indicators: international scientific environment, evolving of papers and patents, collaboration features of patent assignees’ collaboration networks, and impacts. A case study was carried out in the field of life science.…
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Identification of technology development trends based on subject–action–object analysis: The case of dye-sensitized solar cells
Identification of technology development trends is essential for supporting decision makers in forecasting and identifying related innovation activities and industrial growth. Different from the traditional technology development trends based on keyword-based quantitative methods, which usually predict trends by finding key technologies without showing how to develop them, our method allows the identification of future direction…
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Green Energy Prospects: Trends and Challenges
The transition of energy systems moving from non-renewable fossil-nuclear to renewable sources is a key challenge of climate mitigation and sustainable development. Green energy technologies can contribute to solutions of global problems such as climate change, growth of energy consumption, depletion of natural resources, negative environmental impacts, and energy security. In this article the prospective…
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Tech Mining to Generate Indicators of Future National Technological Competitiveness: Nano-enhanced Drug Delivery (NEDD) in the US and China
“Global technological competitiveness” is widely acknowledged, but the challenge is to go beyond this recognition to develop empirical indicators of important transitions. These may concern particular technologies, the competitive position of particular organizations, or national/regional shifts. For decades, the US has been the world leader in biomedical technologies, with attendant implications for organizational priorities in…